Today's setups
Next-24h. Two lists, and they answer different questions. The fade queue is the one with a measured directional edge — pumped coins where the crowd is paying shorts to bet against them. 🔥 Hot today flags coins likely to move hard in either direction, which is a volatility call, not a trade direction. Every number below is out-of-sample.
Fade queue
Coins that just pumped ≥ +10% in 2 days on high leverage stress. Most of these pull back the next day (61.3% in our testing) — but reliably only when every criterion below is met: 68.4% then, 73.9% for the top-ranked ones.
Hit rates only — a few of these ran +150%+ in a single day, so no average-return claims.
🔥 Criteria met (2)
Hard pump + high stress + shorts being paid to hold (funding ≤ -0.05%). Historically 68.4% closed lower next day, 73.9% for top-ranked. Usually 0–3 a day.
ASTRUSDT97
funding-0.616%
daily swing~5.1%
2d pump+22.1%
stress0.50
OI Δ24h+101.8%
down lean▼ 57%
big-move 1d34%
Shorts get paid to hold this
historically these closed lower 68.4% of the time (n=784)
Steady mover — ~5.1% on a normal day
coins that move calmly pulled back most reliably (72–86% in testing)
Top-ranked setup — 73.9% historically
all ranking checks passed (n=376 over 178 days)
Open interest surging (+15%+ in 24h)
new positions piling in — measured roughly neutral for the pullback
CAPUSDT81
funding-1.019%
daily swing~12.0%
2d pump+34.8%
stress0.57
OI Δ24h+5.0%
down lean▼ 57%
big-move 1d60%
Shorts get paid to hold this
historically these closed lower 68.4% of the time (n=784)
Swings ±12.0% on a normal day
very jumpy coins tended to keep running instead of pulling back — worst-case moves are much larger
👀 Watching — criteria not met (10)
Pumped and stressed too, but missing the criterion that made these reliable in testing — historically only 59.7% closed lower, roughly break-even after fees. For observation.
ARKUSDT35
funding-0.040%
daily swing~12.4%
2d pump+14.1%
stress0.57
OI Δ24h-10.1%
down lean▼ 57%
big-move 1d55%
AINUSDT18
funding0.005%
daily swing~6.8%
2d pump+93.0%
stress0.86
OI Δ24h+2.7%
down lean▼ 57%
big-move 1d63%
Huge pump +93% — blow-off risk
the bigger the pump, the bigger the worst-case squeeze against a short (~3× larger)
AIOUSDT18
funding0.005%
daily swing~13.8%
2d pump+22.4%
stress0.79
OI Δ24h+26.6%
down lean▼ 57%
big-move 1d27%
Open interest surging (+15%+ in 24h)
new positions piling in — measured roughly neutral for the pullback
funding0.005%
daily swing~9.8%
2d pump+14.1%
stress0.72
OI Δ24h-3.5%
down lean▼ 57%
big-move 1d40%
CYSUSDT18
funding0.005%
daily swing~40.7%
2d pump+13.0%
stress0.57
OI Δ24h-15.1%
down lean▼ 57%
big-move 1d22%
funding0.011%
daily swing~6.0%
2d pump+41.6%
stress0.73
OI Δ24h+50.3%
down lean▼ 57%
big-move 1d55%
Huge pump +42% — blow-off risk
the bigger the pump, the bigger the worst-case squeeze against a short (~3× larger)
Open interest surging (+15%+ in 24h)
new positions piling in — measured roughly neutral for the pullback
XPINUSDT15
funding0.011%
daily swing~13.9%
2d pump+11.2%
stress0.69
OI Δ24h-1.0%
down lean▼ 57%
big-move 1d44%
BRUSDT14
funding0.015%
daily swing~14.3%
2d pump+43.8%
stress0.88
OI Δ24h-21.6%
down lean▼ 57%
big-move 1d56%
Huge pump +44% — blow-off risk
the bigger the pump, the bigger the worst-case squeeze against a short (~3× larger)
funding0.038%
daily swing~18.5%
2d pump+20.5%
stress0.80
OI Δ24h+11.5%
down lean▼ 57%
big-move 1d34%
funding0.054%
daily swing~14.7%
2d pump+14.8%
stress0.86
OI Δ24h-9.8%
down lean▼ 57%
big-move 1d52%
Stats from a 243-day panel (2025-12-08 → 2026-08-07), 144 days of it walk-forward out-of-sample. Past performance does not predict future results. Not financial advice.
🔥 Hot today
Coins sitting in a condition where our big-move model has proven edge and currently puts the odds of a large move at 50%+. This says a move is likely — not which way. Chips describe what's unusual about each coin right now.
Min historical hit rate9 of 9
LSKUSDTBTC-trackers
stress0.92EXTREMEpulse0.62HIGH
⚡ Big move51%hit 70% · n=954
Shorts are being paid — funding -0.261%
one side is crowded enough to pay the other to hold
Fell -53% in 2 days
already moving fast before today
Swings ±58.9% on a normal day
a jumpy name — size positions accordingly
KOMAUSDTerratic
stress0.86EXTREMEpulse0.54HIGH
⚡ Big move52%hit 70% · n=954
Longs are being paid — funding 0.054%
one side is crowded enough to pay the other to hold
Ran +15% in 2 days
already moving fast before today
Swings ±14.7% on a normal day
a jumpy name — size positions accordingly
BRUSDTdegen
stress0.88EXTREMEpulse0.72HIGH
⚡ Big move56%hit 70% · n=954
Ran +44% in 2 days
already moving fast before today
Swings ±14.3% on a normal day
a jumpy name — size positions accordingly
Open interest draining -22% in 24h
positions being closed out
IOTAUSDTBTC-trackers
stress0.50HIGHpulse0.55HIGH
⚡ Big move50%hit 66% · n=6,619
Swings ±6.5% on a normal day
a steady mover by its own standards
MTLUSDTBTC-trackers
stress0.61HIGHpulse0.62HIGH
⚡ Big move54%hit 66% · n=6,619
Shorts are being paid — funding -0.138%
one side is crowded enough to pay the other to hold
Swings ±10.2% on a normal day
a jumpy name — size positions accordingly
TUSDTBTC-trackers
stress0.50HIGHpulse0.67HIGH
⚡ Big move53%hit 66% · n=6,619
Shorts are being paid — funding -0.443%
one side is crowded enough to pay the other to hold
Swings ±11.5% on a normal day
a jumpy name — size positions accordingly
ARKUSDTBTC-trackers
stress0.57HIGHpulse0.70HIGH
⚡ Big move55%hit 66% · n=6,619
Ran +14% in 2 days
already moving fast before today
Swings ±12.4% on a normal day
a jumpy name — size positions accordingly
POWERUSDTdegen
stress0.73HIGHpulse0.67HIGH
⚡ Big move55%hit 66% · n=6,619
Ran +42% in 2 days
already moving fast before today
Swings ±6.0% on a normal day
a steady mover by its own standards
Open interest surging +50% in 24h
new positions piling in
CAPUSDTerratic
stress0.57HIGHpulse0.63HIGH
⚡ Big move60%hit 66% · n=6,619
Shorts are being paid — funding -1.019%
one side is crowded enough to pay the other to hold
Ran +35% in 2 days
already moving fast before today
Swings ±12.0% on a normal day
a jumpy name — size positions accordingly
1-day horizon · 9 pairs from 528 screened · hit rates last validated 2026-06-14 (they refresh with each retrain; pairs and odds are today's). Hit rate = past out-of-sample accuracy, not a guarantee. Not financial advice.