Squeeze Insights Lab
All Pairs

BTC/USDT

Last updated: 9/15/2026, 3:00:38 AM

LOW RISK

Market calm across metrics

Stress Score (Normalized)
0.0760–1
1.0
Low RiskExtreme

Pulse signals— velocity & rarity composite

What's moving fast right now. Independent from the static stress score.

View timeline →
Pulse score (0–1)
0.305
Higher = inputs are simultaneously rare for this token and changing fast.
OI Δ 24h
-0.9%
OI Δ 7d
-4.2%
OI acceleration
-1.4%
ΔFunding 24h
+0.001%
|Funding| %ile
36
Vol compression
95
Volume spike
0
Perp basis
-0.032%

Stress-score timeline

StressPulse
00.5106-1807-0607-2408-1008-2809-15
2026-06-182026-09-15 · daily snapshots since tracking began

Recent track record

21/40 correct

This pair's high-conviction direction calls over the last 30 days — recorded before the outcome, graded after. Small sample: a recent record, not a statistic.

1d · 8/163d · 8/147d · 5/10
2026-09-141d▼ DN+0.3%
2026-09-131d▼ DN+0.4%
2026-09-121d▼ DN+0.0%
2026-09-123d▼ DN+0.8%
2026-09-111d▼ DN+0.5%
2026-09-113d▼ DN+1.0%
2026-09-101d▼ DN-1.9%
2026-09-103d▼ DN-1.4%
2026-09-091d▼ DN-0.4%
2026-09-093d▼ DN-1.8%

Aggregated Open Interest (All Exchanges)

Total OI
$13.00B
Binance
$8.02B
61.7%
Bybit
$4.17B
32.1%
KuCoin
$810.28M
6.2%
Market Cap
$1564.15B
Market Cap / Aggregated OI
$1564.15B / $13.00B= 120.3246

Risk Signals (Extra)

OI / Volume (24h)
1.052
Level: high
Exchange OI Dominance
binance
Share: 61.7%
Dominance risk

Liquidation history

Short-side 67% of 30d liqstoday: 61st percentile of 90d
$113.6M$315.2M$006-1807-0607-2408-1008-2809-15
Long liqs (above) Short liqs (below)

Positioning summary

Of the ~500 Hyperliquid accounts we track, 47 hold BTC: $395.62M long across 25 positions and $549.52M short across 22 positions — net $153.90M short. The nearest tracked liquidation sits 8.7% above the $75918 Hyperliquid mark and would force-close $9.33M of short exposure. That is the 2026-09-15 20:59 UTC whale sweep; the interactive panel below reloads it on its own.

Interval:

Open Interest

Coinalyze
Latest
$8.01B
ΔOI
-$237.51M

Funding Rate

Coinalyze
Latest
0.0036%
Points
24
Per-exchange futures data
MetricBinanceBybitKuCoin
Price$77,824.9$77,816.2$77,824.9
OI (USD)$8.02B$4.17B$810.28M
OI share61.7%32.1%6.2%
OI (tokens)102,99153,63710,412
Funding rate0.0048%

A dimmed exchange means the pair isn't listed there. Funding & long/short are Binance-only.

External Data (CoinMarketCap & Coinalyze)

Market Cap
$1564.15B
24h Liquidations
$27.99M
Token Symbol
BTC
Sources
CMC, Coinalyze

BTC sits in the BTC-trackers cohort — the group our direction model routes it through. These perpetuals share that behaviour, so their leverage tends to build and unwind the way BTC's does:

Stress score (0–1) and 24h price change, from the same daily sync as this page.

BTC perpetuals — common questions

Answered from this pair's current readings, refreshed with the daily sync.

What are BTC's current liquidation levels?

On Hyperliquid, where BTC whale positions are visible address by address, the nearest tracked liquidation sits 8.7% above the $75918 Hyperliquid mark and would force-close $9.33M of short exposure. On the other side, $3.98M of longs liquidate 18.3% below that same mark. Across the exchanges we aggregate, $27.99M of BTC positions were actually liquidated in the last 24 hours.

How much open interest does BTC have right now?

Aggregated open interest in BTC perpetuals is $13.00B: $8.02B on Binance (62%), $4.17B on Bybit (32%) and $810.28M on KuCoin (6%). That position base is -0.9% over 24 hours and -4.2% over the last week. Open interest is 1.05× the pair's 24-hour volume, so positions are being held rather than churned.

What is BTC's funding rate?

Binance settles BTCUSDT funding at 0.0048% every 8 hours, which annualises to roughly 5.2%. Funding is positive, so longs are paying shorts to keep the trade on — the crowd is leaning long and carrying a cost to do it. At that rate a $10,000 position on the long side pays about $1.43 a day to stay open.

Are whales long or short BTC?

Among the ~500 largest Hyperliquid accounts we track, 47 hold positions of $100k or more in BTC: $395.62M long across 25 and $549.52M short across 22 — a net $153.90M short. At the start of the tracked week that net figure was $153.26M short. These are real on-chain positions read off Hyperliquid, not a model output — roughly a third of Binance USDT-perps have a Hyperliquid market, and BTC is one of them.

Is BTC over-leveraged right now?

BTC's leverage-stress score is 0.076 out of 1.0, which we band as low risk. It blends three readings: how big the perp book is next to the token itself ($1564.15B of market cap against $13.00B of open interest), how violently open interest is swinging against the funding rate, and how much of the book is already being force-closed ($27.99M in the last 24 hours). A high score means fragile, not bearish: it says a move would be violent, not which way it would go.

Has BTC seen heavy liquidations lately?

Over the last 30 complete days, 33% of the BTC notional that got liquidated was long positions and 67% was shorts, so the pain has been mostly on the short side. The most recent 24-hour total ranks in the 61st percentile of the last 90 days, meaning today is on the busy side for this pair. The mirrored bar chart on this page plots the daily long/short split for the past year.

BTC/USDT (BTCUSDT) perpetual futures shows a leverage-stress score of 0.076 out of 1.0 (low risk), $13.00B in aggregated open interest across Binance, Bybit, KuCoin, a funding rate of 0.0048% as of Sep 15, 2026. These are diagnostic readings of market conditions, not a trade signal.